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Stock prices decline while industrial control earnings improve

George J. Blickley, Contributing Editor -- Control Engineering, 9/1/2000

The stock market wasn't kind to the controls industry in the first half of 2000. The Control Engineering Index (CEI) showed that prices for industrial control stocks fell 11% in 2Q00, which was more than the Dow Jones Industrial Average's decline (-4.3%), though less than the NASDAQ's drop (-13%). This was disappointing news because the CE Index was up over 6% in 1Q00, beating the Dow Jones, which was down by 5%.

The CE Market Value Index reflects this drop in prices for 2000's first half-performing well in 1Q00 and then stumbling in 2Q00. The main reason for this trend was a significant decrease in market value for CEI's second and third largest companies. After Allied Signal acquired Honeywell and assumed its name, the newly combined firm had a 35% drop in value during 2Q00 due to market volatility. Rockwell International experienced a 25% decline in value during this period. The index's largest firm, Tyco International, experienced more than 5% decrease in value. Meanwhile, Emerson and Flowserve posted gains in earnings, which helped limit the index's overall decrease to only 11%.

On the positive side, the earnings of these firms-represented by their earnings per share (EPS) for the past year-presents a much brighter picture with healthy increases in 1Q00. These companies' EPS increased from 1% to 96% with an overall average of approximately 7%. Investors considering whether to further depress controls industry stock prices should first take a take a closer look at how these firms' earnings are improving despite the overall market's performance.

Control Engineering Stock Index
Stock prices at close 3/31/00($) close 6/30/00% chg in. quarter52-wk. highAnnual div. yieldPrice/earn ratio12-mo. EPS ($)
Ametek Inc.17.05-9.124.751.1491.92
19.25
Badger Meter Inc.25.25-30.341.003.5692.72
36.25
Danaher Corp. 49.44-3.165.250.20261.87
51.00
Eaton Corp.67.00-14.1103.502.6978.96
78.00
Emerson Electric Co.60.38+13.769.882.32193.14
53.13
Flowserve15.06+17.021.560430.35
12.88
Honeywell Inc.33.69-36.168.632.37171.98
52.69
K-Tron International15.25-5.418.13072.26
16.13
National Instruments43.63-7.159.500470.92
46.94
Rockwell International31.50-24.764.943.17103.24
41.81
Transmation Inc.2.25-25.04.000NA-0.42
3.00
Tyco International Ltd.47.38-5.553.880.21311.51
50.13
EPS = earnings per share
Yield = % based on closing price
Div. = dividend
Source: Control Engineering with data from Cnet Investor (Boulder, Colo., www.investor.cnet.com , 303/938-1877)

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